Breakdown Of Kaiko’s Year-End Analysis For Bitcoin Price

Jim Haastrup
4 Min Read

Key Insights

  • Despite initial uncertainty, Bitcoin has surged 160% in 2023, making it one of the top-performing assets.
  • Bitcoin’s performance surpassed stocks, bonds, commodities, and gold, showing promise even as it slowly decouples from stocks.
  • With strong momentum, potential retests of $50,000, upcoming ETF approvals, and the next halving event, BTC’s future appears bright.
  • Major forecasts anticipate further upward movement, with BTC potentially reaching $80,000 to $125,000 by year-end 2024.

Despite starting the year with so much uncertainty, Bitcoin has overcome all odds and has become one of the best-performing asset classes of all time, according to a new report from Kaiko.

Kaiko says that BTC is on track to end the year as one of the best investment choices for 2023, and is about to mark a 160% YTD increase if all goes well

Bitcoin’s Roller Coaster Ride in 2023

According to Kaiko’s report, Bitcoin’s price action in 2023 can be divided into three phases.

Bitcoin was second only to Nvidia
Bitcoin was second only to Nvidia | Source: Kaiko

Kaiko says that the first phase came from January until March when BTC struggled to find its footing between $15,000 and $20,000.

The mid-year phase, however, is described by Kaiko as a “strange time”, because BTC traded sideways for most of the time from March until October.

During this range, BTC traded between $25,000 and $30,000.

However, in October, things started to change when BTC staged a remarkable comeback and broke above $40,000.

Overall, Kaiko says that BTC has one of the best Sharpe ratios of the year, which makes it second only to Nvidia as shown above.

Bitcoin’s Edge Over Traditional Assets

Kaiko also notes that Bitcoin’s impressive performance in 2023, means that it outshines most traditional assets including stocks, bonds, commodities, and gold.

BTC is also shown to be decoupling slowly from stocks

Bitcoin is decoupling from stocks
Bitcoin is decoupling from stocks

This is a good thing because going forward, the approval of a spot BTC ETF, as well as the upcoming halving are expected to cause increased bullish volatility for the cryptocurrency.

BTC’s decoupling from stocks allows it to move based on its own metrics and may mean that we are about to get a highly bullish 2024.

Bitcoin’s Future Outlook

Overall, Kaiko says that BTC’s future outlook remains bright, as it enters a new year with strong momentum and a possible retest of $50,000.

The pending ETF applications are also expected to significantly boost the price of BTC once approved.

The upcoming halving is also expected to improve the price of bitcoin, starting from May 2024, as seen after previous halvings in 2012, 2016, and 2020.

Overall, most of the major price predictions on BTC for the coming year, expect prices to move further upwards to anywhere between $80,000 and $125,000 at the end of the coming year.

Disclaimer: Voice of Crypto aims to deliver accurate and up-to-date information, but it will not be responsible for any missing facts or inaccurate information. Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile financial assets, so research and make your own financial decisions.

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Jim Haastrup is a blockchain and technical writer at Voice of Crypto, where he covers cryptocurrency, NFTs, DeFi, GameFi, and the Metaverse. Before joining Voice of Crypto in 2022, he spent over three years as a senior technical writer across multiple blockchain projects, including Hashtoken, Naxar, and Bino, where he specialized in whitepapers, technical documentation, and content strategy for decentralized finance applications. Jim began his career as a junior technical writer at RM in Canada before advancing to lead technical writing roles at Bulltoken, a cryptocurrency crowdfunding platform in Norway. Throughout his career, he has authored more than 800 articles and collaborated with development teams to translate complex blockchain protocols into accessible content for diverse audiences including developers, investors, and crypto enthusiasts. His work spans ICO/STO/IDO research and analysis, cryptocurrency market trend forecasting, and social media management for crypto brands. Jim has helped numerous startups build their online presence through strategic content marketing, technical whitepapers, and pitch deck development. Jim graduated from the Federal University of Agriculture, Abeokuta (FUNAAB), Nigeria with a Bachelor of Engineering in Electrical Engineering in 2021. Disclosure: No significant crypto holdings.