Look at the Potential BTC Capitulation Scenario Predicted by Analysts

Jim Haastrup
2 Min Read

The cryptocurrency market has been volatile in recent weeks, with Bitcoin reaching new highs and then falling back again. The analyst who predicted the possibility of Bitcoin’s collapse in May 2021, has now mapped out his potential price scenarios for BTC. He suggested a possible dramatic capitulation event.

The pseudonymous analyst is known as Dave the Wave tells his 98,000 Twitter followers that Bitcoin is likely heading down below $25K.

For references, he uses the month of May 2021 and November 2021 as examples of what bitcoin traders may see next.

According to Dave, we could see a Bitcoin move down comparable to the previous two, looking at $25k region!

Dave also notes that despite the bearish price action in recent weeks, BTC still has a considerable downside as suggested by its 200-week moving average (MA).

The analyst believes Bitcoin to be well above its 200-week moving average, and that its 20-week MA historically tends towards revisiting the same price point before a bear market ends.

In one of his tweets he said:

“One for the bullish bears and the bearish bulls.

Note that the 200-week MA is quite high [above the previous peak]…. while the 20-week MA is moving down toward it…”

Maybe the most surprising thing about Bitcoin is that it has been able to stay afloat, despite several deep and lasting dips. The analyst notes while an extended downtrend may be likely in terms of price movement over time (and we all know how accurate these predictions can be), zooming out reveals a powerful long-term uptrend still intact for BTC.

 

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Jim Haastrup is a blockchain and technical writer at Voice of Crypto, where he covers cryptocurrency, NFTs, DeFi, GameFi, and the Metaverse. Before joining Voice of Crypto in 2022, he spent over three years as a senior technical writer across multiple blockchain projects, including Hashtoken, Naxar, and Bino, where he specialized in whitepapers, technical documentation, and content strategy for decentralized finance applications. Jim began his career as a junior technical writer at RM in Canada before advancing to lead technical writing roles at Bulltoken, a cryptocurrency crowdfunding platform in Norway. Throughout his career, he has authored more than 800 articles and collaborated with development teams to translate complex blockchain protocols into accessible content for diverse audiences including developers, investors, and crypto enthusiasts. His work spans ICO/STO/IDO research and analysis, cryptocurrency market trend forecasting, and social media management for crypto brands. Jim has helped numerous startups build their online presence through strategic content marketing, technical whitepapers, and pitch deck development. Jim graduated from the Federal University of Agriculture, Abeokuta (FUNAAB), Nigeria with a Bachelor of Engineering in Electrical Engineering in 2021. Disclosure: No significant crypto holdings.